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译文(字数 4458): 研究人民币升值对外国直接投资及其对中国经济的影响 Ping-fu,博士(荣誉),威廉姆 摘要 在过去的十年里人民币是升值的趋势,这样的趋势可能会在未来十年持续多年的。根据一些学者在他们发表的文献中,人民币的升值,大量涌入的外国直接投资(FDI)已经在中国大陆在过去的十年持续伴随持续经济增长。相信中国经济增长有以下一些重要的因素,包括人民币升值,人民币的利率,通货膨胀和持续增加对未来几年的外国直接投资。本研究旨在提供一个强调调查影响中国经济由于人民币升值和外商直接投资以及一些其他因素,并提供一个研究中国未来几十年经济前景。首先,进行相关的背景信息和评论人民币和外商直接投资的发展历史。有很多原因和因素导致在过去的十年中中国经济的持续增长,这种影响在文献综述中说明。人民币汇率机制的发展概述,和其他变量包括(1)人民币汇率,(2)中国利率,(3)外国直接投资(FDI),(4)中国的贸易平衡,(5)中国年度通货膨胀率,(6)能源消费在中国,(7)中国外汇储备,(8)中国的工资,(9)中国外债和(10)中国消费者物价指数,这可能影响中国的经济增长是在第二章的文献综述进行论述。 关键词:资本流入,汇率制度,国内生产总值,回归模型
外文原文(字符数 15642): A STUDY OF CHINESE YUAN (RMB) APPRECIATION ACCOMPANYING WITH OTHERS FACTORS INCLUDING FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI) AND THEIR EFFECT ON CHINA ECONOMY Ping-fu (Brian), LAI, Ph D (Hons) Kam Hung William CHOI, MSc Fin
Abstract The Chinese Yuan (RMB) has been on the trend of appreciation over the last decade, and such a trend will likely be continuing for some years over the next decade. According to some scholars in their published literatures, the appreciation of RMB, the influx of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been ongoing accompanying the sustained growing economy in mainland China over the past decade. It is believed that the China economy has an implication from some significant factors including appreciation of RMB, interest rate of RMB, inflation and continuous increase of FDI for the next several years. The present study aims to provide an emphasis on investigation into effect on China economy as a result of appreciation of RMB and FDI together with some other factors, and to provide an outlook on the economy in China for the coming decades. First, a review was carried on relevant background information and development history of RMB and FDI. There are many reasons and factors behind leading to the sustained growth in the economy in China in the last decade and such effects were in coverage in the literature review. An overview of the development of RMB exchange mechanism, and other variables including (1) RMB exchange rate, (2) China interest rate, (3) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), (4) Trade Balance of China, (5) Annual Inflation rate in China, (6) Energy Consumption in China, (7) Foreign Exchange Reserve in China, (8) China wages, (9) China External Debt and (10) China Consumer Price Index, which may have effect on the growth of the economy in China is covered in the literature review conducted in Chapter 2. |